GARTLEY ON AUDUSD (CLOSED)
The region covered by the green lines is the PRZ. Anywhere within that could serve as a potential buy zone. While I agree that is a wide region I decided to use the trend line from 4HR to narrow down the region. That leaves us with the the green line closest to the trend line.
Price has formed a gravestone doji within that region. That is as good a buy signal for me.I love setting tight stops and high profits so I enter the moment I get the green light.
Target:
Main target is A(0.0 fib level). However, resistances between entry point and target are
B(0.7746) and C(0.7797).
Also, drawing a fib retracement from A to D(region with the PRZ if price actually turns) and C to D which forms clusters. The clusters as well are possible reversal levels.
Stop loss at X (0.7672)
RISK 35 WHILE PROFIT 135
EVENTUALLY:
MY BUY was exited on profit of +17 pips which is very far from what I was hoping for.
It's sad, though I was prepared for it, that price turned at B. It turned with a bearish divergence(notice the region covered by vertical purple lines; stoch does not correlate with price).
Also, within the region covered by fib clusters (38.2 and 61.8) there is a confluence with former support (red line) on which shooting star formed. That was the beginning of the decline.
I placed a pending order(sell limit) which I hope will be triggered if price should rally a few pips.
SL is 30 pips away from entry -- above the shooting star and cluster
TARGETS:
Targets are the trend line from 4HR, 0.7670 and 0.7606 levels which are support levels from 4HR
Major target is 0.7606 which is 125pips away from entry. I made it my business to mark out levels that can bounce price.
RISK 30PIPS profit 125PIPS
AND...
I was stopped out by a spike. More than being sad, I was annoyed -- because I was so sure price would decline. Why then was I stopped out was what got me angry. I do not think my stop was too tight. I suppose it is one of those uncertain situations which market throw at us.
A new divergence had just formed.I entered again with instant execution at 0.7743 with an SL of 30 pips. Soon after price headed for my target -- broke the trend line and on. Before I could start counting my eggs, price formed a morning star on 0.7694 which is a support. Since a broken trend line was close by, I felt price was only rallying high for a retest.
I shifted my SL (to 0.7735) to lock in a few pips. I intended on scaling in on seeing price forming reversal bars on testing the trend line. But it was in the middle of the night, and I was only half-awake. I promised myself that I wouldn't trade in such a situation since I make mistakes during these times. I could have scaled in and I would not still regret it if price did turn against me as it did.
In the end, I woke up in the morning to see myself out of the trade -- I was kicked out -- like that.
LESSON LEARNED:
I admit I was too careless. I locked in just a little of the pips which is almost nothing.
PROFIT/LOSS: +8 pips
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